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RuView/docs/benchmarks
ruv f19938a7b6 docs(ruforecast): real zero-shot pretrained-checkpoint comparison beats naive baselines
Chronos-Bolt (base/small), Chronos-T5-small, and TimesFM-2.5-200M run
zero-shot (no fine-tuning) on the same BIDMC cross-entity test windows,
baselines, and WQL/MAE metrics as the prior from-scratch RuForecast
BIDMC result. Unlike every from-scratch RuForecast configuration tried
this session, all four pretrained checkpoints beat both last-value and
seasonal-naive baselines on WQL, on both independent patient-partition
judges (12-42% margin), consistent with the massive-pretraining-corpus
hypothesis from the prior literature pass.
2026-09-02 02:15:33 -04:00
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